Lucia Bronzetti - Anastasija Sevastova Tipovi i prognoze

Italy’s Lucia Bronzetti may own just a 1-4 record over her last five, but context is everything: four defeats came against Top-40 hitters, and she still carried a 64 % first-serve clip and saved 60 % of break points along the way. On Rome’s slowish clay those margins matter. Across the net, Anastasija Sevastova remains the craft queen, yet her comeback has been fragile—she retired mid-match in Koper, then was double-bageled by Diana Shnaider in Madrid. The Latvian’s surgically repaired knee is still taped, and longer rallies will exact a tax. Early books priced Bronzetti at 1.72, but even the trimmed 1.64 converts to just 60 % implied odds—well below the 70 % edge suggested by serve/return data and fitness trends. Backing the Italian straight up captures that discrepancy without the extra risk of a games handicap. Home crowd, healthier legs, and superior recent clay metrics tilt this firmly in Bronzetti’s favour.